In 2013, USAID and Humanity United tasked competitors to develop an algorithm to predict where and when atrocities would happen in the near future — within the next 30 days — based on the atrocity pre-history from the Political Instability Task Force Data and sociopolitical activities from Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (see the problem statement). In all, 93 competitors produced 592 submissions over a three-week period for a $25,000 prize. The winning solution developed a reliable algorithm that can show the heat-map of atrocity risks worldwide in real-time. The prediction power is 60% better than predictions based just on atrocity frequency in the location. For more information, please visit here.
